Nick Foles Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Nick Foles

NFL · Player Props

Nick Foles

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Completions

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Nick Foles Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line has given their quarterback 2.63 seconds before the pass (9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Nick Foles to attempt 37.2 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 9th-lowest clip in the NFL versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (68.5%).

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