Nick Chubb Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

My Account Log Out

reorder

Nick Chubb

NFL · Player Props

Nick Chubb

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+300/-450).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -450.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
Nick Chubb has played on 53.9% of his team's snaps since the start of last season, putting him in the 75th percentile among running backs.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (73.7%) to RBs since the start of last season (73.7%).
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

More Nick Chubb Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow