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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+136/-182).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.5 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (84.9%) vs. running backs this year (84.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.1% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Nick Chubb's receiving reliability have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 78.3% to 75.1%.
  • The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 9th-best group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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