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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+116/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -154 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cleveland Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Nick Chubb has been on the field for 53.1% of his offense's snaps since the start of last season, ranking him in the 76th percentile among running backs.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line has given their quarterback 2.54 seconds before getting pressured (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense since the start of last season: 2nd-least in football.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (76.7%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (76.7%).

The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles project as the 7th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to rushing the passer.

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