Nick Chubb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Nick Chubb

NFL · Player Props

Nick Chubb

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Nick Chubb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 62.6% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 135.4 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.
With an impressive 39.8% snap rate (75th percentile) since the start of last season, Nick Chubb ranks among the RBs with the most usage in football.
Nick Chubb ranks in the 86th percentile among running backs this year with a remarkable 1.0% of his team's air yards accumulated.

Favors Under

The Browns offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
This year, the strong Chargers defense has yielded a meager 71.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the smallest rate in the NFL.
This year, the formidable Los Angeles Chargers defense has given up the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing RBs: a feeble 4.9 yards.

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