Nick Chubb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Nick Chubb

NFL · Player Props

Nick Chubb

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Nick Chubb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
The Cleveland Browns have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
Nick Chubb's skills in picking up extra yardage have gotten better this season, accumulating 9.67 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 6.10 rate last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 54.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 29.0) versus running backs this year.
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.6%) versus running backs this year (62.6%).
The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus RBs this year, yielding 4.42 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in football.

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