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Nick Chubb
NFL · Player Props
Nick Chubb
RB · Cleveland Browns
Carries
Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns · Week 17, 2022 Updated Jan 1, 2023 8:31 PM UTC
NFL Props Nick Chubb Carries

Nick Chubb Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +104.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 3rd-fastest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.41 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to earn 16.5 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
  • Nick Chubb has earned 63.5% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
  • The Cleveland Browns have gone for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in football), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.
Favors Under
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Washington Commanders defensive ends project as the 10th-best group of DEs in football this year with their run defense.
  • The Cleveland Browns have faced a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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