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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to garner 16.5 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among running backs.

Nick Chubb has earned 62.1% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.

The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 10th-best group of safeties in the league this year with their run defense.

The Cleveland Browns have faced a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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