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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 45.0% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to notch 14.9 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
  • The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 29th-worst safety corps in football since the start of last season with their run defense.
  • The Cleveland Browns have elected to go for it on 4th down 22.2% of the time since the start of last season (9th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

  • The Cleveland Browns will be rolling with backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to be much less involved in his offense's running game this week (52.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (62.5% in games he has played).
  • The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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