Nelson Agholor Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Nelson Agholor

NFL · Player Props

Nelson Agholor

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 3:51 AM EST

Analysis

Nelson Agholor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jaguars defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
The Ravens O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Nelson Agholor's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 60.0% to 77.9%.

Favors Under

This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 4 points.
The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 50.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.
The Jaguars cornerbacks rank as the 7th-best group of CBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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