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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

Nelson Agholor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore Ravens boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by the projection model to call 66.5 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Chargers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 2nd-most passes in football (40.5 per game) this year.

The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

Nelson Agholor's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 60.0% to 78.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 53.9% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

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