Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Nelson Agholor

NFL · Player Props

Nelson Agholor

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 13, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
Nelson Agholor's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 62.2% to 73.5%.
Nelson Agholor's pass-catching effectiveness has improved this season, totaling 9.44 yards-per-target compared to a mere 8.40 rate last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.
Nelson Agholor has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (51.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (83.0%).
Nelson Agholor has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (54.0 per game).
The Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 143.0) vs. WRs this year.

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