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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs New England Patriots

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to call the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Nelson Agholor's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 62.2% to 73.5%.

Nelson Agholor's pass-catching effectiveness has improved this season, totaling 9.44 yards-per-target compared to a mere 8.40 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New England Patriots have called the least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 54.3 plays per game.

Nelson Agholor has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (51.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (83.0%).

Nelson Agholor has accumulated quite a few less air yards this year (36.0 per game) than he did last year (54.0 per game).

The Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 143.0) vs. WRs this year.

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