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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.

Nelson Agholor has been responsible for a monstrous 24.1% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 79th percentile among wide receivers.

The Miami Dolphins defense has yielded the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (154.0) vs. WRs since the start of last season.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.93 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots rank as the 8th-least pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 60.3% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 58.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots have called the 9th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 60.7 plays per game.

Nelson Agholor has been among the worst wideouts in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.92 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 18th percentile.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.6%) versus WRs since the start of last season (64.6%).

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