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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 2nd-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

In this game, Najee Harris is forecasted by the predictive model to position himself in the 90th percentile among running backs with 16.8 rush attempts.

Najee Harris has been given 50.6% of his team's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to running backs.

Najee Harris has averaged 52.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (75th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Najee Harris's rushing effectiveness has tailed off this year, accumulating just 3.18 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 3.93 mark last year.

Najee Harris profiles as one of the bottom RBs in football at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a measly 2.49 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 22nd percentile.

The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best unit in football this year when it comes to run defense.

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