Najee Harris Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 25, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
Najee Harris has averaged 57.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among RBs (82nd percentile).
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, allowing 4.87 yards-per-carry.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles project as the 4th-worst group of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Najee Harris's rushing effectiveness (3.76 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (11th percentile among RBs).

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