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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
  • Najee Harris has averaged 57.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among RBs (82nd percentile).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has produced the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing run games since the start of last season, allowing 4.87 yards-per-carry.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles project as the 4th-worst group of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Najee Harris's rushing effectiveness (3.76 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (11th percentile among RBs).

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