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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Steelers to run on 46.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Najee Harris to garner 15.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Among all RBs, Najee Harris ranks in the 86th percentile for carries this year, making up 53.2% of the workload in his team's running game.
  • When talking about run-blocking (and the significance it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Steelers grades out as the 10th-best in the league last year.
  • This year, the imposing Bengals run defense has yielded a feeble 4.70 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 26th-lowest rate in the league.

  • The Steelers will be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.
  • The model projects the Steelers to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).
  • Najee Harris's 49.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year reflects a meaningful drop-off in his rushing talent over last year's 59.0 mark.

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