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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 50.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Steelers to run on 46.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The leading projections forecast Najee Harris to garner 15.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Among all RBs, Najee Harris ranks in the 86th percentile for carries this year, making up 53.2% of the workload in his team's running game.

When talking about run-blocking (and the significance it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Steelers grades out as the 10th-best in the league last year.

This year, the imposing Bengals run defense has yielded a feeble 4.70 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 26th-lowest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers will be rolling with backup QB Mason Rudolph this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Steelers are underdogs in this game, suggesting more of an emphasis on passing than their usual game plan.

The model projects the Steelers to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 6th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Pittsburgh Steelers this year (a mere 55.5 per game on average).

Najee Harris's 49.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year reflects a meaningful drop-off in his rushing talent over last year's 59.0 mark.

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