Najee Harris Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 51.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this game, Najee Harris is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 79th percentile among RBs with 13.3 carries.
Out of all RBs, Najee Harris grades out in the 84th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 53.1% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.
With an impressive record of 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (78th percentile), Najee Harris rates among the best pure runners in the league this year.
This year, the anemic Colts run defense has conceded a monstrous 136.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing teams: the 5th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Right now, the 10th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

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