Najee Harris Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-106/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to garner 11.6 carries in this contest, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among running backs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
Najee Harris has generated 59.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league among RBs (82nd percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to be much less involved in his team's run game this week (44.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (56.1% in games he has played).
Najee Harris's rushing efficiency (3.73 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (11th percentile among running backs).
Najee Harris has been among the weakest running backs in the league at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging just 2.74 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 23rd percentile.
Opposing squads have rushed for the least yards in the league (just 77 per game) versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season.

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