Najee Harris Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to total 13.5 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a huge 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Najee Harris has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this season (64.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (78.8%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.

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