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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.4 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to accumulate 16.4 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 97th percentile among RBs.
  • Najee Harris has picked up 63.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in the NFL among running backs (92nd percentile).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defensive ends profile as the 9th-worst collection of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a big 7-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to be a less important option in his team's run game this week (66.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (78.8% in games he has played).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
  • Najee Harris's running efficiency (3.68 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (17th percentile among running backs).

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