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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-240/+175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -240.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Najee Harris's 12.8% Target Rate this year illustrates a noteable boost in his pass game utilization over last year's 6.5% mark.

This year, the feeble Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has yielded a monstrous 97.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the worst rate in the NFL.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Las Vegas's unit has been atrocious this year, ranking as the worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 49.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.8 per game) this year.

Najee Harris's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 84.7% to 73.9%.

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