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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-154/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -174 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers have been the most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to notch 3.0 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
  • Najee Harris has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 9.5% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 82nd percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
  • The Cleveland Browns safeties grade out as the 4th-best collection of safeties in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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