Najee Harris Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to accumulate 2.9 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among RBs.
Najee Harris has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 9.9% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
Najee Harris has been among the best pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 2.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (72.7%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (72.7%).
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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