My Account Log Out

reorder

Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop.

This week, Najee Harris is projected by the projections to secure a spot in the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs with 2.9 targets.

Najee Harris has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack this season (12.2% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (6.5%).

Najee Harris's 22.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a material gain in his receiving talent over last season's 11.0 rate.

Najee Harris's pass-game effectiveness has gotten better this season, accumulating 7.30 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 5.32 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 51.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 126.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.7 pass attempts per game against the New York Jets defense this year: 9th-fewest in the league.

When it comes to air yards, Najee Harris ranks in the paltry 25th percentile among RBs this year, with just -3.0 per game.

Najee Harris's 76.4% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a noteworthy reduction in his receiving skills over last year's 84.7% mark.

More Najee Harris Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™