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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Steelers this year (a whopping 59.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Najee Harris's 12.8% Target Rate this year illustrates a noteable boost in his pass game utilization over last year's 6.5% mark.
  • Najee Harris has accumulated quite a few more adjusted receiving yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (11.0).
  • Najee Harris's receiving effectiveness has improved this year, accumulating 7.25 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 5.31 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 49.8% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Raiders, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.8 per game) this year.
  • When talking about air yards, Najee Harris ranks in just the 25th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -4.0 per game.
  • Najee Harris's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 84.7% to 73.9%.

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