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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.
  • Najee Harris has played on 53.4% of his offense's snaps this year, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Najee Harris has accrued a massive 4.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among RBs. (That might not seem too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Najee Harris's 5.9 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a significant growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 4.4 mark.
  • Najee Harris's 7.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a remarkable growth in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.9% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
  • This year, the daunting Titans defense has conceded a measly 23.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

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