Najee Harris Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 3, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Steelers offense to be the quickest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.02 seconds per snap.
Najee Harris has played on 53.4% of his offense's snaps this year, placing him in the 76th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Najee Harris has accrued a massive 4.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among RBs. (That might not seem too impressive, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
Najee Harris's 5.9 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a significant growth in his pass-catching ability over last season's 4.4 mark.
Najee Harris's 7.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year reflects a remarkable growth in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.9% mark.

Favors Under

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers ranks as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
This year, the daunting Titans defense has conceded a measly 23.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

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