Najee Harris Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 19, 2023

Updated Jan 15, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be forced to start backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game's spread suggests an extreme passing game script for the Steelers, who are big -10-point underdogs.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 54.3% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The projections expect the Steelers to run the 2nd-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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