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Najee Harris
NFL · Player Props
Najee Harris
RB · Pittsburgh Steelers
Receiving Yards
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 16, 2022 Updated Dec 25, 2022 2:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Najee Harris Receiving Yards

Najee Harris Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +105.

Favors Over
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to accumulate 2.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 76th percentile among RBs.
  • Najee Harris has posted a colossal 4.0 air yards per game this year: 87th percentile among RBs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).
  • Najee Harris's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten better this season, notching 6.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 5.42 figure last season.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in the league (47.0) vs. running backs this year.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Najee Harris has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (46.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (65.6%).
  • Najee Harris has accumulated a lot fewer receiving yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (26.0).
  • Najee Harris has been among the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL among running backs, averaging a measly 4.28 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 8th percentile.
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