Najee Harris Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 2:41 AM EST

Analysis

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the model to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
This week, Najee Harris is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.2 carries.
Najee Harris has garnered 61.8% of his team's run game usage this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football last year in run support.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 9th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (only 54.6 per game on average).
The Rams defensive tackles profile as the 3rd-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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