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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -102.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to run 67.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • The leading projections forecast Najee Harris to accrue 15.6 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
  • Out of all running backs, Najee Harris ranks in the 92nd percentile for carries this year, taking on 63.6% of the workload in his offense's ground game.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football last year at opening holes for rushers.

  • The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 40.4% of their downs: the 9th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.5 plays per game.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Baltimore's unit has been great this year, ranking as the best in football.

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