Najee Harris Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Las Vegas Raiders vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 11:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 60.5 plays per game.
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive tackles project as the 4th-worst group of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 3rd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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