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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-102).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to total 13.5 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a huge 7.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Najee Harris has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this season (64.8% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (78.8%).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.

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