My Account Log Out

reorder

Najee Harris

Najee Harris Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints

Najee Harris Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers offense has played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 26.88 seconds per snap.

The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to accumulate 15.1 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among RBs.

The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers rank as the 10th-least run-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 36.6% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to be much less involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (52.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (65.2% in games he has played).

The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.

The New Orleans Saints defensive ends profile as the 5th-best unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have elected to go for it on 4th down a mere 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

More Najee Harris Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™