MyCole Pruitt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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MyCole Pruitt

NFL · Player Props

MyCole Pruitt

TE · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

MyCole Pruitt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Atlanta Falcons O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
MyCole Pruitt's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% jumping from 79.2% to 83.0%.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has yielded the 4th-highest Completion% in football (78%) to TEs this year (78.0%).
The Atlanta Falcons have faced a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 53.6 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
MyCole Pruitt has been among the weakest pass-game TEs this year, averaging a lowly 12.0 yards per game while grading out in the 25th percentile among tight ends.

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