MyCole Pruitt Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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MyCole Pruitt

NFL · Player Props

MyCole Pruitt

TE · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

MyCole Pruitt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-118/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Falcons are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Atlanta Falcons offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
MyCole Pruitt's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 79.2% to 89.8%.
The New Orleans Saints defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Atlanta Falcons to be the 6th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons have run the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.7 plays per game.
MyCole Pruitt has been used less as a potential target this season (11.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (23.4%).
MyCole Pruitt has accrued a mere 3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 18th percentile among TEs.

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