Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Mo Alie-Cox

NFL · Player Props

Mo Alie-Cox

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Touchdowns

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Mo Alie-Cox Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2122/-2464).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this game.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 64.6 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.3%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (79.3%).
This year, the stout Pittsburgh Steelers run defense has surrendered a meager 0.75 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 10th-best rate in football.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, grading out as the best in football.

Favors Under

The model projects the Colts to be the 6th-most run-oriented offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 47.7% red zone run rate.
The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: fewest in football.
Mo Alie-Cox has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks in the 1st percentile among tight ends.
When talking about air yards, Mo Alie-Cox grades out in just the 11th percentile among TEs this year, accruing just 0.0 per game.

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