Mo Alie-Cox Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Mo Alie-Cox

NFL · Player Props

Mo Alie-Cox

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 3:52 PM EST

Analysis

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-156/+122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +152 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indianapolis Colts have run the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.2 plays per game.
While Mo Alie-Cox has been responsible for 1.9% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more important option in Indianapolis's passing attack in this game at 7.5%.
When it comes to defensive ends rushing the passer, Tennessee's collection of DEs has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

With a 7-point advantage, the Colts are overwhelmingly favored in this game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual game plan.
Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 9th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Titans defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.
Mo Alie-Cox has been one of the bottom pass-game TEs since the start of last season, averaging just 1.1 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 22nd percentile among TEs.

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