Mo Alie-Cox Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Mo Alie-Cox

NFL · Player Props

Mo Alie-Cox

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Mo Alie-Cox Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-145/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this game.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 64.6 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79.3%) versus tight ends since the start of last season (79.3%).

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: fewest in football.
Mo Alie-Cox's 1.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 7.2.
Mo Alie-Cox grades out as one of the bottom TE receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 1.0 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 16th percentile when it comes to TEs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 9th-best collection of LBs in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

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