Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Mo Alie-Cox

NFL · Player Props

Mo Alie-Cox

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Mo Alie-Cox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this game.
Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run 64.6 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
The Steelers pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, allowing 8.35 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the league.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.8 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: fewest in football.
When talking about air yards, Mo Alie-Cox grades out in just the 11th percentile among TEs this year, accruing just 0.0 per game.
Mo Alie-Cox's 1.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 7.2.
The Steelers pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, allowing an average of 0.38 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-fewest in the NFL.

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