Mitchell Wilcox Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Mitchell Wilcox

NFL · Player Props

Mitchell Wilcox

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving Yards

New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Mitchell Wilcox Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Wilcox to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack this week (8.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (2.5% in games he has played).
Mitchell Wilcox has been among the most reliable receivers in football among TEs, completing an impressive 91.3% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 91st percentile.
Mitchell Wilcox has been among the most effective pass-catchers in the league among TEs, averaging an impressive 9.28 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 29.14 seconds per snap.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Mitchell Wilcox has put up a paltry 4.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 25th percentile among tight ends.
The New England Patriots defense has yielded the 9th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 41.0) vs. tight ends this year.

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