Mitchell Wilcox Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Mitchell Wilcox

NFL · Player Props

Mitchell Wilcox

TE · Cincinnati Bengals

Receiving TD

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Mitchell Wilcox Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+356/-676).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -469 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -676.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.0 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mitchell Wilcox to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense near the goal line this week (7.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).
Mitchell Wilcox has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football among tight ends, catching an impressive 100.0% of passes thrown his way this year, grading out in the 100th percentile.
The Cleveland Browns safeties grade out as the 6th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game versus the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 3rd-least in the league.
Mitchell Wilcox has totaled a meager 2.0 air yards per game this year: just 11th percentile among TEs.
Mitchell Wilcox's 3.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in football: 17th percentile for TEs.

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