Mitchell Trubisky TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Mitchell Trubisky

NFL · Player Props

Mitchell Trubisky

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

TD Passes

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 9:41 PM EST

Analysis

Mitchell Trubisky TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-205/+158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -205 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -205.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

Favors Under

Right now, the 10th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to pass too much against the Indianapolis Colts, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the league (just 33.2 per game) this year.
The Steelers offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Mitchell Trubisky's passing precision has declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 64.6% to 59.9%.
The Colts defense has given up the 8th-fewest passing touchdowns in football: 1.15 per game this year.

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