Mitchell Trubisky Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Mitchell Trubisky

NFL · Player Props

Mitchell Trubisky

QB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Carries

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Mitchell Trubisky Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In this week's game, Mitchell Trubisky is anticipated by the model to garner the 9th-most rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 4.9.
Our trusted projections expect Mitchell Trubisky to be a more integral piece of his team's ground game in this game (17.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (12.6% in games he has played).
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.
The Indianapolis Colts safeties rank as the 30th-worst collection of safeties in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

Right now, the 10th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

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