Miles Sanders Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 20, 2022 3:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 58.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.3% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to earn 11.9 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile among running backs.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
Miles Sanders has averaged 61.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest figures in football among RBs (92nd percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Miles Sanders to be a less important option in his team's rushing attack this week (36.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (46.3% in games he has played).
The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
The Philadelphia Eagles have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.