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Miles Sanders

Miles Sanders Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Miles Sanders Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -167.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive blueprint to skew 6.5% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
  • This week's spread implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Panthers this year (a monstrous 63.8 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.
  • Miles Sanders's 10.8% Target Rate this year shows a noteable growth in his passing attack utilization over last year's 5.3% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Carolina Panthers to pass on 56.1% of their downs: the 9th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Panthers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Panthers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Miles Sanders's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 74.8% to 70.0%.

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