Miles Sanders Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Miles Sanders

NFL · Player Props

Miles Sanders

RB · Carolina Panthers

Carries

Chicago Bears vs Carolina Panthers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 10, 2023 1:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Miles Sanders Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Panthers this year (a monstrous 63.8 per game on average).
When talking about run support (and the impact it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Panthers ranks as the 10th-best in the league last year.
The Bears defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Carolina Panthers offensive blueprint to skew 6.5% more towards the passing game than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Thomas Brown now calling the plays.
This week's spread implies a throwing game script for the Panthers, who are -3-point underdogs.
The model projects the Panthers to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The predictive model expects Miles Sanders to be much less involved in his team's run game in this week's contest (23.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (41.7% in games he has played).

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