Mike Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Mike Williams

NFL · Player Props

Mike Williams

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 11:21 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-167/+124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +124 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 64.5 plays per game.
Mike Williams has run a route on 93.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
Mike Williams has been among the leading WRs in the league this year, averaging a terrific 5.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.
The Seattle Seahawks linebackers project as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.0 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in the league.
The Los Angeles Chargers O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.6%) vs. wideouts this year (63.6%).

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