Mike Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Mike Williams

NFL · Player Props

Mike Williams

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 18, 2022 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Mike Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 132.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Mike Williams to accumulate 9.8 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among WRs.
Mike Williams's 61.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 52.7.
Mike Williams has been among the leading wide receivers in the league this year, averaging an impressive 5.6 receptions per game while checking in at the 91st percentile.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Completion% in football (63.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (63.8%).
The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Denver Broncos have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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