Mike Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Mike Williams

NFL · Player Props

Mike Williams

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Mike Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (+107/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 67.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.0 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Mike Williams to garner 9.0 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 7th-least in football.
Mike Williams's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 61.0% to 55.9%.
Mike Williams's receiving efficiency has declined this year, totaling just 7.42 yards-per-target vs a 8.42 mark last year.

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