Mike Williams Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Mike Williams

NFL · Player Props

Mike Williams

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving TD

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Williams Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+137/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -189 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 65.4 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Mike Williams has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.2% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 85th percentile among wide receivers.
Mike Williams has accumulated a monstrous 91.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wideouts.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 5th-least TDs through the air in football to wide receivers: 0.71 per game since the start of last season.
The Las Vegas Raiders defensive ends rank as the 3rd-best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to pass rush.

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